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	<title>Campaign for America&#039;s Future News &#187; Steve Cobble</title>
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	<description>Daily news and strategy from a progressive point of view.</description>
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		<title>Class War Divide Clear In Swing State Exit Polls</title>
		<link>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121128/class-war-divide-is-clear-in-swing-state-exit-polls?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=class-war-divide-is-clear-in-swing-state-exit-polls</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121128/class-war-divide-is-clear-in-swing-state-exit-polls#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Nov 2012 15:16:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Cobble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Progressive Vision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wage Class War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Class Warfare]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ourfuture.org/?p=77991</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In eight of the 10 battleground states (Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin), President Obama won voters with incomes under $50,000 while losing voters with incomes of more than $50,000. In the other two swing states (New Hampshire and Colorado), Obama won voters with incomes under $50,000 while tying voters over $50,000 (and losing the subset of voters with incomes over $100,000).]]></description>
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<p>In case you were wondering if <a href="http://wageclasswar.org">class war</a> had anything to do with the outcome of the presidential vote in 2012, take a look at the “income” breakdown in <a href="http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/president/exit-polls">The New York Times exit polls</a> for the top 10 swing states. </p>
<p>The division is stark. In eight of the 10 battleground states (Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin), President Obama won voters with incomes under $50,000 while losing voters with incomes of more than $50,000. In the other two swing states (New Hampshire and Colorado), Obama won voters with incomes under $50,000 while tying voters over $50,000 (and losing the subset of voters with incomes over $100,000).</p>
<p>Less than $50,000? Obama won. More than $50,000? Obama lost (or tied). Tell me again why so many Democrats want to screw around with the benefits and retirement ages for Social Security, Medicare &amp; Medicaid? Maybe it’s their lack of class…</p>
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		<title>Most Effective Ads Aimed at Bain, Bailout, Blue-Collars</title>
		<link>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121115/most-effective-ads-aimed-at-bain-bailout-blue-collars?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=most-effective-ads-aimed-at-bain-bailout-blue-collars</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121115/most-effective-ads-aimed-at-bain-bailout-blue-collars#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Nov 2012 20:00:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Cobble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[An Economy for All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Making It In America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Class Warfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor Unions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ourfuture.org/?p=77401</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In his &#8220;Fact Checker&#8221; column last week, Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post wrote that &#8220;Negative ads often work. But clearly some negative ads work better than others.&#8221; He then listed two examples of Obama team ads that worked, and one set of Romney team negative ads that didn&#8217;t catch on with the voters. The [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img src='http://caf.blob.core.windows.net/blogourfuture/wp-content/themes/ambrosia/images/square-logo.png' alt='' title='' />
<p>In his &#8220;Fact Checker&#8221; column last week, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/tracing-impact-of-negative-ads-on-presidential-race/2012/11/07/f139a238-2929-11e2-96b6-8e6a7524553f_blog.html">Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post</a> wrote that <em>&#8220;Negative ads often work.  But clearly some negative ads work better than others.&#8221;</em>  He then listed two examples of Obama team ads that worked, and one set of Romney team negative ads that didn&#8217;t catch on with the voters.</p>
<p>The two successful Obama team negative ad sets focused on Bain Capital and the auto bailout.  Both sets of ads were directly aimed at <strong>the blue-collar voters of Ohio</strong>.  They were, in effect, <u>&#8220;class war&#8221;</u> ads.</p>
<p>The <strong>Bain ads</strong> drove Romney&#8217;s negatives up by illuminating his plutocrat side, portraying him as a vulture capitalist, a looter of companies, a living symbol of the greed and callousness of the 1% elites who have devastated the Rust Belt over the past 4 decades.</p>
<p>Kessler, who has been critical of the content of many of the Bain ads, then points out that <em>&#8220;…more than one-fifth of voters said that the top quality they sought in a president was &#8216;cares about people like me.&#8217; Obama won their votes by a ratio of 4 to 1…&#8221;</em></p>
<p>The <strong>bailout ads</strong> highlighted the success of the auto rescue in saving—and creating—good union jobs while protecting Midwestern manufacturing.  They also hammered Romney hard for his opposition to the bailout.</p>
<p>And Kessler points out that exit polls <em>&#8220;…showed that 59 percent of voters supported the auto bailout — and three-quarters of those voters went for Obama. That certainly made a difference in a state where the margin of victory was only 2 percent.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>Given that Ohio was regarded by almost everyone as the #1 most critical battleground, it is not much of a jump to conclude that Barack Obama <u>&#8220;out-classed&#8221;</u> Mitt Romney in the Buckeye State.</p>
<p>(Learn more at <a href="http://www.wageclasswar.org">www.wageclasswar.org )</a></p>
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		<title>Revisiting E.J. Dionne&#8217;s Insight</title>
		<link>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121115/revisiting-e-j-dionnes-insight?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=revisiting-e-j-dionnes-insight</link>
		<comments>http://blog.ourfuture.org/20121115/revisiting-e-j-dionnes-insight#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Nov 2012 18:00:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Cobble</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[An Economy for All]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Making It In America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor Unions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[progressive]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.ourfuture.org/?p=77397</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In his brilliant, day-after summation of the &#8220;new majority&#8221; that made up Barack Obama&#8217;s winning re-election vote, E. J. Dionne wrote this paragraph: &#8220;It cannot be forgotten that saving General Motors and Chrysler was the most &#8216;interventionist&#8217; and &#8216;intrusive&#8217; economic policy Obama pursued — and it proved to be the most electorally successful of all [...]]]></description>
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<p>In his brilliant, day-after summation of the &#8220;new majority&#8221; that made up Barack Obama&#8217;s winning re-election vote, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ej-dionne-obamas-victory-settles-a-bitter-argument/2012/11/07/00be6164-2892-11e2-96b6-8e6a7524553f_story.html">E. J. Dionne wrote this paragraph</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;It cannot be forgotten that saving General Motors and Chrysler was the most &#8216;interventionist&#8217; and &#8216;intrusive&#8217; economic policy Obama pursued — and it proved to be the most electorally successful of all of his decisions. The auto bailout was key to Obama&#8217;s crucial victory in Ohio, where six in 10 voters approved the rescue. Union households in the state voted strongly for the president, and he held his own among working-class whites.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;d like to emphasize two key points from that essay that have been mostly overlooked:</p>
<ol>
<li>Obama&#8217;s crucial Ohio win was in major part a &#8220;class&#8221; victory.</li>
<li>Government intervention in the economy—specifically, the auto industry—not only saved good union jobs and an important industry, it created new good jobs and a better Ohio economy. This was a successful progressive public policy pursued in the face of fierce conservative opposition.</li>
</ol>
<p>Why re-emphasize these points?</p>
<p>In the first case, while I totally agree that the &#8220;rising American electorate&#8221; of African-Americans, Latinos, Asian-Americans, the young, and single women are the future strength of the Democratic Party, it&#8217;s critical to remember that blue-collar White votes were necessary to cross the 50% threshold.</p>
<p>Stan Greenberg&#8217;s estimate is that the rising American electorate now makes up close to half of the electorate (and growing). This is a happy demography for progressives, but remember—we don&#8217;t get all that vote every time; off-year turnout among these base groups still lags presidential-year turnout; and it&#8217;s not (yet?) a majority of the vote.</p>
<p>We still need union organizing skills, labor turnout operations, and union voters—or at least union-friendly voters—to win key Midwestern states like Ohio, Iowa &amp; Wisconsin, and to elect great U.S. Senators like Sherrod Brown &amp; Tammy Baldwin.</p>
<p>In the second case, Dionne points out that government intervention—long derided by &#8220;free enterprise&#8221; propagandists—made a positive difference in the lives of many Ohio working families. Not only that, but government intervention in the economy paid positive political dividends. &#8220;Gifts&#8221; in the always-eloquent prose of Mitt Romney.</p>
<p>Imagine that. <strong>Good public policy also meant good politics.</strong></p>
<p>Progressive office-holders might keep that in mind.</p>
<p>(Learn more at <a href="http://www.wageclasswar.org">www.wageclasswar.org</a> )</p>
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